Is America really declining?

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pioqdtxvb LV1 2022年1月9日 20:26 发表

<section id="nice" style="line-height: 1.6; letter-spacing: 0px; word-break: break-word; overflow-wrap: break-word; font-family: Optima-Regular, Optima, PingFangSC-light, PingFangTC-light, "PingFang SC", Cambria, Cochin, Georgia, Times, "Times New Roman", serif; padding: 10px;"><h2 style="font-size: 22px; text-align: center; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.1em; padding-top: 12px; padding-bottom: 12px; margin: 70px 30px 30px; border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);"> <span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 5%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;">Is America really declining?<span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 95%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;"> </h2> <blockquote style="border-top: none; border-bottom: none; border-image: initial; font-size: 0.9em; overflow: auto; color: rgb(106, 115, 125); padding-top: 10px; padding-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 20px; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px; border-left-width: 3px; border-left-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.65); border-right: 1px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.65); background: rgb(249, 249, 249);"> The decline of American hegemony, throughout a relatively macro human history, is a process of accelerating downward after entering an inflection point stage. In the process of accelerating the downward trend, almost everything the hegemonic country does is wrong. Every decision it makes to protect its hegemony, in turn, will further exacerbate its own recession. </blockquote> Looking at the development of the United States in the past 40 years from a historical perspective, its starting point, the Reagan administration, is also Maga, to revitalize the national prestige and make the United States great again. The magic weapon of the Reagan administration is neoliberalism, which is called laissez faire free market economy and reducing supervision. The financial fruit of this process is the short selling mechanism of Wall Street. Because there is a short selling mechanism, because there is an over developed short selling mechanism, and because there is a short selling mechanism that has not been properly regulated, a scene of hegemony towards dusk has been staged in the most powerful financial field in the United States. The old short selling institutions were united by a group of Internet users he despised - some people said they were mixed with institutions, and in the form of a group of Internet users - and were in great embarrassment and embarrassment. Their response strategy was even more shocking. At the same time, we also saw the impact storm on Capitol Hill on January 6, 2021. This round of storm on Capitol Hill has had a major impact on the liberal democratic system that the United States is proud of, and the political system of the United States, which is the so-called beacon of civilization at the end of human history, that European and American countries are proud of. From 2020 to 2021, we saw the total runaway of COVID-19 in the United States - the number of deaths has exceeded 400 thousand, and this has set the second record in US history, second only to the losses caused by the American Civil War. The United States, which has the most developed biomedical technology in the world, has made major mistakes and caused major damage in the process of preventing and controlling an infectious disease. So we see a picture of hegemony moving towards dusk, and this picture of hegemony moving towards dusk does not have a significant decline process. If we look back on the development of these 40 years, the United States has made great strides all the way from the Reagan administration to the trump administration. Its macroeconomic indicators have hardly seen any major negative changes; Its military strength, political influence, global penetration and the ability to shape and lead the international order and international rules have almost no significant defects in the past 40 years. But all of a sudden, we see a hegemony that has lost its aura; We see a hegemonic trend towards dusk; We have seen a hegemonic power that highlights its decline and insufficient governance capacity in all aspects; We have seen a hegemony that is incompatible with this era. I can't help feeling here - we see that the United States has succeeded all the way and successfully entered a dilemma. To a certain extent, in sharp contrast, in almost the same period, China, predicted by some big prophets all the time that it will collapse next, rose to become the second largest power in the world amid the sound of collapse, and was recognized by the United States as a serious threat, impact and challenge to it, Therefore, we need a comprehensive understanding and analysis framework. <h2 style="font-size: 22px; text-align: center; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.1em; padding-top: 12px; padding-bottom: 12px; margin: 70px 30px 30px; border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);"> <span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 5%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;">First, the United States opposes the United States.<span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 95%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;"> </h2> All the way, we can see two Americans: an elite America and a civilian America. One of them is the upper class United States created by the elite, which is high above the world and claims to master the ultimate truth of the human world. As Professor Fukuyama said, it can end human history and represent the end of history and the ultimate form of human society; One is the United States of the people, which has never solved the fair distribution of economic benefits, the equality between ethnic groups, the sharing of costs and benefits in the process of globalization, its own development and cross class mobility channels. In the past 40 years, the United States of the people has continuously accumulated its own grievances, continued to be outside the spectrum of analysis and understanding of the traditional American political elite, and silently survived and developed. At some point in 2016, a man named Donald Trump and his campaign team knocked on their door with the idea of so-called populism, called on them to cast their votes and elected the first president famous for populism in American history. Such a process of the United States opposing the United States has shaped the most dramatic country in history and its domestic and international political trend after successfully becoming a global hegemony and the world's only superpower. We have seen the neglect of the political elite to the ordinary American people, the plundering of the due benefits of the ordinary American people by the financial elite, and the disregard of the cultural elite to the real demands of the American people. There is no intention to create a framework for populist incitement here. In essence, such a United States is a basic reality masked by the rapid growth of domestic economic development and fairly developed comprehensive national strength of the United States since the 1960s and 1970s - as a mature country that has entered the stage of financial imperialism at an early stage, There are profound class and class contradictions in the United States. This class and class problem and contradiction is covered by the basic game framework and concept of so-called identity politics, which has been covered up for a long time. American politicians are addicted to the electoral returns brought by identity politics, so they have no intention to adhere to and implement the guidance of integrating the benefits of the American people. They pay attention to the concept of the American people, focus on shaping a set of relaxed and politically correct words, and maximize their own political benefits. With the least cost, the easiest way and the most reliable way to master their own political rights, win the comparative advantage over political opponents in election politics, rather than solve the real problems faced by the United States, which has become the policy actually implemented by successive U.S. presidents. The historical irony is that with such a process, the United States has achieved several unexpected successes: for example, the sudden disintegration of the Soviet Union. This success has given the United States an interesting hint from the outside that it is on the absolutely right path. So, again and again, the United States intentionally or unintentionally ignored some historic opportunities to take the initiative to adjust to solve these problems, but continued to focus on the only goal - to maintain the only hegemony in the post Cold War world, that is, the United States itself. Second, what the United States opposes the United States is the self contradiction between the ideas and practices respected by the elite United States. For example, when there are some unstable fluctuation factors in a financial market, whether long or short, and the price of a financial product may lead to fluctuations that may cause a significant impact on the order of the whole market, supervision is certainly necessary. Even in the daily state, the government certainly needs to play the role of a strong regulator However, after the end of the cold war, the American elite who indulged in the state of neoliberalism transmitted a neoliberal myth to the world - an ideal market does not need supervision and should not be supervised. The market has sufficient rationality to solve all the problems it faces. Furthermore, I believe in and practice the contents of this set of external publicity. Therefore, people have seen the failure of the universal free market and the disillusionment of the so-called myth of no regulation. The self contradiction between American elites, the self contradiction between speech and behavior, and the conflict between the respected ideas and the results of practice constitute the United States against the United States in the second sense. We can see that the second dimension of the rupture of American hegemony is the rules of the game respected by the United States and the guiding principles followed by the international mechanism. In fact, it is untenable and too idealistic. It too much obeys and serves the needs of the United States to maximize the asymmetry of its own interests in the world, but it does not help to solve the practical problems faced by people. Let alone solve the problems of other countries to achieve their own sustainable development, it can not even solve their own contradictions in the United States. Third, another dimension of the United States' opposition to the United States is that the tools used by the United States to build its own hegemony are accelerating the self defeating of American hegemony, the so-called self defeating. The hegemony of the United States is now clear that there are three pillars: <ul style="margin-top: 8px; margin-bottom: 8px; padding-left: 25px; list-style-type: square;"> <li><section style="margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 26px; color: rgb(1, 1, 1);">First, the military system; </section></li><li><section style="margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 26px; color: rgb(1, 1, 1);">Second, scientific and technological strength; </section></li><li><section style="margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 26px; color: rgb(1, 1, 1);">Third, the financial system. </section></li></ul> So far, the three systems of the United States can still be considered to be unique in the world. In Silicon Valley and in various innovation laboratories in the United States, you can see all kinds of wonderful ideas. The power of basic scientific and technological research behind these fantastic ideas in the laboratory stage still leads the global priority to a certain extent. However, a large number of such technological innovations have become gimmicks in the U.S. stock market, not real products. Recently, there is a classic example, Google announced the collapse and stop of one of its plans. This project is to set up a global wireless network by launching high-altitude balloons in order to compete with Musk's star chain. Has Google really pushed this thing forward? Does it really stand on the real demands of local people in areas not covered by basic wireless networks in the world or in the United States to seriously understand how to come up with a practical and feasible solution for key infrastructure to solve their Internet problems? Not really. Google put forward a concept, did a group of experiments, took some beautiful data, and then went to the financial market to get his due return. <h2 style="font-size: 22px; text-align: center; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.1em; padding-top: 12px; padding-bottom: 12px; margin: 70px 30px 30px; border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);"> <span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 5%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;">Second, the excessive expansion of finance.<span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 95%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;"> </h2> Financial capital and the fat cats on Wall Street have played a very unique role in the domestic political system and the social and economic structure of the United States, from shorting subprime loans in 2007 and 2008 to pulling out the network cable of retail investors in 2021. In a sense, a very symbolic and all-round development is the emergence of the so-called short selling mechanism - when a country's economy is down, financial institutions can still profit from it, which undoubtedly maximizes capital interests. The cost of this financial instrument, in a sense, when the short mechanism was born, the binding between American capital and American national interests began to loosen. For capital, it doesn't matter whether the United States is good or bad, whether the macro-economy is up or down, and whether the real industry is further plump or withered. Rising prices can make money; Fall, you can make money. Even, financial capital can gain benefits by contributing to recession and decline through proficiency in mechanism. At this time, the profit of American financial capital is divorced from the prosperity of the United States itself, which is undoubtedly ironic. <h2 style="font-size: 22px; text-align: center; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.1em; padding-top: 12px; padding-bottom: 12px; margin: 70px 30px 30px; border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);"> <span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 5%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;">Third, the military strength of the United States is still superior to the world.<span style="display: block; width: 3px; margin-left: 95%; height: 3px; line-height: 3px; overflow: hidden; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); box-shadow: rgb(0, 0, 0) 3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px 3px, rgb(0, 0, 0) -3px 0px, rgb(0, 0, 0) 0px -3px;"> </h2> However, in today's world, the military strength of the United States has exposed two decisive defects. The first defect is that it does not adapt to the times. What targets do more than a dozen aircraft carrier formations attack? Launch a bomb from the air and destroy the target. Is there any value in the bomb itself? From the air, an accurate UAV was used to separate the remote controllers of 5000 km and 10000 km, and press a button to kill two terrorists, with one or two hundred incidental civilian injuries on the side. For the global anti-terrorism cause, is it to further keep the world away from terrorists, or create more hatred and continuously replenish fresh blood for terrorists? Did the advanced military power of the United States play any positive role in the face of the 2020 COVID-19? Today's world really needs some countries to play a leading role, and some countries need to stand in the center and provide better public goods for the world with their own strength and advantages. Even with the background of COVID-19, today's world needs more responsible big powers to stand up and responsibly provide vaccines for the world, including personal protective devices, including nucleic acid test reagents, including respirators, and all public products that can resist COVID-19. Everything to avoid recession. - END -</section>

Is America really declining?

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